Matchup of the Week – Week 8

Finally a match-up with some history! These teams have have been duking it out since our first season and have played each other eleven times. Shittysauruses have taken seven of these match-ups, but only two out of the last four. They surprisingly haven’t played since week eight of 2016 where Shitty beat the Pumaskulls 123.9 to 91.1. What did these teams look like in their first match-up? Well Shitty had three Chargers (lol) and Pumaskulls had a dog-fighter and a woman-beater.

Both teams were considered “unlucky” for most of the season, but Pumaskulls have won the last four straight games while averaging 144 points. Shitty has averaged 152 points a game over that same stretch, but only come away with one win. Both teams put up their worst scores of the season last week, so it should be interesting to see if one or both teams bounce back. Pumaskulls is crossing their fingers for some movement up the division, with the lead only two games out. Shitty is vying for a wildcard spot with her strong point total, but needs to start compiling some wins.

Best part of this match-up of the week is even the computers can’t decide who’s going to win. It’s almost a dead even 50-50 split across most projection systems. The teams have scored pretty differently this season, with Shitty getting most of the points out of QB and RB, while Pumaskulls have performed better at flex and tight end. This week their projected to play into their strengths with Gurley leading the RB pack for Shitty and Pumaskulls wondering which of Beckham, Adams, or Hopkins will go off. We’ll definitely get our money’s worth out of this one as the action will kick off on Thursday with Hopkins and Miller and carry all the way through to Monday with Edmunds.

Final Prediction:

Shelbyville Shittysauruses: 152

Dreadmetal Pumaskulls: 151

Who do you think will win? Make sure to leave a comment and vote on the game.

Podcast 2018 – Week 7

The Champ is here to tell us all about how his team is on the rise after fooling everyone into thinking he was bad at fantasy football. After that we cover all the mainstays of the pod and answer some Butthole Surfer fan questions.

Week 7 Wrap-Up – 2018

Every week is wild and this week was no exception. We saw the top score of all time (193.9) as well as the worst score of the season (77.7). Mega Shark put up back to back 179 point weeks and has taken the number two position in overall points. Boomers made a late week trade to bolster their starting line-up and ended up posting their highest score of the season. Hopefully they can capitalize on their soft schedule over the next few weeks as they face Nibblonians and Pumaskulls.

Shenanihads lost their top RB this week and posted their lowest score of the season. Atoms decided to one-up the Shenanihads this week by forgoing a tight-end and scoring nearly half the points of the league’s average. The highest over-performing team faced the worst-under performing team this week and the results were predictable. Wholelottasmoke pulled off a win with only 127.3 and hold a 6-1 record despite their 56% win percentage against the field. Pumaskulls must have been hanging out with smoke recently, as they pulled off the lowest scoring win of the season with only 108 points.

 

Weekly Awards

 

Top Players

 

Power Field Rankings

ALL SEASON Change Record Average
THIS WEEK Change Record Score
 

Power Division

 

Division Ranks

TNP Change Record PF PA
PMBC Change Record PF PA

Matchup of the Week – Week 7

Two of our most volatile teams go at it this week. These teams have been all over the place, with scores as low as 95 and as high as 180. Mega Shark posted a nice bounce back last week, while Nibblonians have dropped for three straight weeks and posted their lowest point total for the season. These teams faced off twice last year with Nibblonians taking both games. Both teams are in the middle of a tight division race and hoping that their trip to the opposing division will give them a leg up.

PWR and player rankings both favor Mega Shark in this one as Nibblonians will be with out two of her top 4 players (Brown and Cupp) and without Nick Vigil. She’ll be relying on some savvy waiver-wire pickups to fill in the gaps like Taylor Gabriel and Willie Snead. Mega Shark will be leaning on his KC combo of Tyreek Hill and Kareem Hunt who have averaged 40 points a week combined. Fun Fact: This same combo was average 35 points a game through 6 weeks for Giant Octopus in 2017. The average dropped to 25 points in the second half. The teams are projected pretty similarly for nearly every position but wide-receiver, where Mega Shark is projected to score almost twenty more points with his trio of Jones, Hill, and Cooks.

Nibblonians will see most of their players in the early games, while both teams will be waiting until late Sunday night to see what happens with four Falcons players involved in the matchup. Sanu will have to battle off Julio, Ridley, and Campbell.

Final Prediction:

The Nibblonians: 135

Mega Shark: 145

Who do you think will win? Make sure to leave a comment and vote on the game.

Week 6 Wrap-Up – 2018

A big bounce back week for Mega Shark, who posted their highest score of the season and the second highest score of all season. Nibblonians posted their lowest score of the season and have dropped in points for three straight weeks. Pumaskulls are picking up the pace with three straight wins, and now have the fourth highest total points for the season. They should make it four straight wins with their next matchup against the hapless Shenanihads, but face a underrated Shittysaurus team in week 8. The Shittysauruses lost a heartbreaker last week, but easily got the win this week. They’re due for some positive win regression, with 74% wins against the field, but a 2-4 record. Wholelottasmoke is the highest over-performing team, and pulled out another win this week to become one of two 5-1 teams. They’ll be tested over the next two weeks as they face the Shittysuaurus and Bunnies. There have been nine scores under 110 points this season, and Shenanihads own four of them. Things aren’t looking up as they have to take on the Pumaskulls and Giant Octopus over the next three weeks.

Linebackers continue to be the main source of points for most in the league, averaging 12 points a game. Safeties took over as the top producer this week averaging 12.4 points, while corner backs continue to be the worst: 7.6 points. Overall the point discrepancy between teams is the smallest for IDP of any position. The top IDP team is the Atoms (strategy working? lol) with an average of 14 points, while the worst IDP team (Shenanihads) are still scoring 7.1. Compare that to running backs: the top running back team is Giant Octopus with an average of 21 points, while the Shenanihads (lol) are barely mustering 8.9 points a week from the position.

The tiers look mostly the same from last week. Two tiers with just one team, Octo with the highest Wins/Points, and Shenanhiads on the opposite. In the middle there are three tiers, the good points/wins, the bad points/wins, and Pumaskulls and Shittysauruses who are the underperformers right now.

 

Weekly Awards

 

Top Players

 

Power Field Rankings

ALL SEASON Change Record Average
THIS WEEK Change Record Score
 

Power Division

 

Division Ranks

TNP Change Record PF PA
PMBC Change Record PF PA

Week 5 Wrap-Up – 2018

Another maybe-not-as-exciting week with a lot of blowouts. Some teams really got it going like the Atoms, some team took it to the next level like the Pumaskulls, and some teams completely fell off like Mega Shark and Surfers. The MotW started exciting but died down as the afternoon games played out. Nibblonians pulled off the win as the Bunnies fell flat, five of their starters scoring less than ten points. A lot of eyes were on Shellbyville and Atoms Monday night, and although Atoms put up his highest score of the season, the Shittysauruses were finally able to eek out a win (for now). Shittysauruses have been on fire since pretty much the second week and are now second in points and hold an impressive 41-14 against the field. They’ve still got some ground to cover in the division but their luck may have finally turned around. The Pumaskulls finally lived up to their billing as a top wide receiver team, averaging 25 points from their starters and putting up the 5th highest point total for the season.

 

Weekly Awards

 

Top Players

 

Power Field Rankings

ALL SEASON Change Record Average
THIS WEEK Change Record Score
 

Power Division

 

Division Ranks

TNP Change Record PF PA
PMBC Change Record PF PA

Week 4 Charts – 2018

Thought you guys might be interested in them. Working on eventually getting them into dashboards on the site you can look at whenever you want but for now I’ll just post them periodically.

Point Distribution:

I’ll just start with my favorite. This one is showing point probability distributions for each team:

You can see some of the teams that haven’t really left their comfort zone (AFB, DMPS, PHSH) and some teams with a ton of variance (NIBB, ATOM, and my fave the two humped TGIF).

Point Difference:

For each team I calculated the z score based on team averages. You can pretty much just see how far from the average score your team is.

Points by Position:

Still working on cleaning this one up but this is similar to the chart I posted last week but it’s average points for that position not slot. Eventually going to get this one cleaned up so it displays rank or average points on the bar to make it a little more readable.

Team Tiers:

One of the staples from last year, this one just maps out each teams wins and point average with a bonus color coding of tiers. 4 tiers do a pretty good job of separating the teams right now but I usually fluctuate between 3-5 tiers, whatever looks like it fits better.

PWR Mailbag

Do Martin and Robert have any obvious holes.

It involves pulling up our bootstraps, oiling up a hooker and then he beats you in my line up. -Fluffy

Commish, are you that you are right old friend... oh, you are going fall out of the show.

Why does Austin side with the theme of 2016 being fucking bonkers, the Atoms will win and find themselves in the league, yet we sit idly by while the Austin's of the playoffs right now?

Some babies were dropped on their face and who's in the starting lineup? AKA Martin insurance.

Justin, Still willing to trade with? Not just this season, it feels like it does in Magic the Gathering.

Cat in the league ruin the competitivness of the podcast, people tell me what they ate for dinner?

Last year everyone was mad at Martin for taking all the prize money. It's a battle of sea creatures, what can it mean.

Now that we've had a gun with two bullets and I quote, ""Bunnies fucking suck they can suck it have fun losing you loser.

want to hear a joke? Shittysauruses are 5-3, and they are so tremendous, and we will remeber it for the best team, just that they might not win in this Chili’s tonight.

Hi guys, I enjoy being liked. I have a solid team.

There are about 37 trillion cells working together in your Pumaskull. -Chris

Would our league be better if we had a reversal of fortune, maybe I lost myself somewhere along the way.

Week 4 Wrap-Up – 2018

Another wild week in the books. This week had less close match-ups than the previous weeks, and featured the biggest blowout of the season (100 points!). It also had our two highest scores of the season (184.5 and 181.6 points), and our two lowest of the season (84.3 and 94.3 points). A lot of teams ended up in the middle and the average score for the season continues to hover around 141 points. The average winning score this season? 154.5. The average losing scoring? 126.9.

There were a lot of bounce back teams this week. Surfers, Pumaskulls, and Nibblonians all took a big step from their average week 3 performances. Others teams like TGIF and Smoke came crashing back to earth. Shenanihads would have beat four teams this week, bringing their wins agains the field for the season up to 5-39. Giant Octopus on the other hand has recorded back to back high scores and has a 40-4 against the field. The system is now calling The Northern Pikes the power division, with 3 teams breaking the 600 point total. They also have the only teams who haven’t broke the 500 point total so the division seems a little polar. The Mayo boys however, have a pretty decent average amongst all the teams, although Mega Shark took a commanding lead this week with their 181.6 point performance.

This week we saw a huge gap in QB power, the Shenanihads scoring ZERO and the Nibblonians scoring 39 points. Defensive ends scored big this week with an average of 17.6 points, while cornerbacks in the league only scored 4.5. Five cornerbacks have been started this season with an average of 5.18 points, so beware when chasing CB points. Some teams are killing it with their drafted players – Shittysauruses have scored 573 out of their 614 total points from players out of the draft – while injury struck teams like the Boomers have barely scored 50% of their points out of drafted players. The Boomers have more than made up for this in free agency, where they’ve scored 200 points out of players from the waiver wire.

 

Weekly Awards

 

Top Players

 

Power Field Rankings

ALL SEASON Change Record Average
THIS WEEK Change Record Score
 

Power Division

 

Division Ranks

TNP Change Record PF PA
PMBC Change Record PF PA