Playoff Update

With only five weeks left in the season and nothing but divisional games left, here’s how the playoff odds look:

TeamPlayoff MachineFantasy ProsAverageChange
Nellis A.F.B. Boomers97.5%97%97.25%+21.14% â–˛
Springfield Atoms88.41%84%86.21%+26.50% â–˛
Dreadmetal Pumaskulls80.16%88%84.08%+3.20% â–˛
The Fluffy Bunnies45.02%40%42.51%+9.34% â–˛
Team GoInsanelyFast30.77%19%24.89%-33.44% â–Ľ
Shelbyville Shittysauruses19.55%29%24.28%-4.33% â–Ľ
Columbia Songbirds19.06%18%18.53%-2.01% â–Ľ
Butthole Surfers9.63%13%11.32%+5.29% â–˛
Philadelphia Shenanihads5.18%5%5.09%-1.71% â–Ľ
Robot Unicorn4.10%6%5.05%-18.20% â–Ľ
Randy Savage Macho Men0.19%1%0.60%-2.85% â–Ľ
Giant Octopus0.43%0%0.22%-2.46% â–Ľ

Week 9 Stats

AveragePoints RankLast 3SoSRoS SoSPWR RankWin% v Field
Nellis A.F.B. Boomers114.863118.144463.64%
Springfield Atoms118.581116.63116265.66%
Butthole Surfers106.467119.8363945.45%
Dreadmetal Pumaskulls115.612126.5335555.56%
The Fluffy Bunnies107.966113.971211348.48%
Randy Savage Macho Men104.179102.63511245.45%
Giant Octopus101.2611103.13271035.35%
Philadelphia Shenanihads100.631291.6398839.39%
Robot Unicorn105.828103.93121147.47%
Shelbyville Shittysauruses101.641094.8779640.40%
Columbia Songbirds109.125107.3810759.60%
Team GoInsanelyFast1124110.81012152.53%
  • Boomers have posted an above average score for the 7 out of the 9 weeks of the season, each accompanied with a win. They’re boasting a staggering 77% win percentage against the field over the last 4 weeks, 14 points higher than the next.
  • Atoms retain their lead in points and slide into 2nd in PWR. Atoms have lost every 3rd game this season, and after 2 wins, face a cold Robo (#8) team.
  • Butthole Surfers doubled their points from the week before, and posted the 4th highest score in Bo Knows history. With this points explosion, they’ve jumped from 12th to 7th in point totals for the season and 2nd in points over the last 3 weeks.
  • Pumaskulls leads the league in points over the last 3 weeks and is the only team to score more than 140 points three times.
  • Bunnies took a loss this week, but while sitting middle of the pack for points and wins against the field, they face Octopus (#12), Shenanihads (#11), Shittysauruses (#10), and Songbirds (#7) before wrapping up the season.
  • Macho Men put an end to their 5 game losing streak, but has the 3rd lowest point average for the last 3 weeks. They’ll face a murderer’s row of Robo’s Rainbows in Pumaskulls (#2), Boomers (#4), Surfers (#5), and Atoms (#1) while trying to fight back for a wildcard spot.
  • Octo’s max score of 112.7 is lower than 3 teams average. They only see pain and suffering in the future as the Toilet Bowl looms near. First agenda item for next season should be replacing this team.
  • Shenanihads are also feeling the shame spiral as they have dropped to the lowest average for the season and boast a 22% vs the field for the last 4 weeks. With an easy division and only one game out, they still have a chance to sneak into the playoffs.
  • Robot Unicorn eked out a win this week despite the below average score. It’ll be tough for them to nab a wild card spot with all the top teams in their division, but they’re far from eliminated.
  • Shittysauruses crashed back down with the weeks lowest point total after posting the second highest the week before. Posting a 40% against the field for the season and averaging only 97 points since week 4, Shittysauruses will need to get their Shit together to get into the playoffs.
  • Songbirds are quietly having a bounceback from their week 5 embarrassment, posting the 3rd highest wins against the field for the season, although only one real win in the last 5 weeks to show for it. They’re still in the running for the Rogue Guardian division and definitely have a chance to grab it.
  • The number one ranked team for half the season, TGIF ranks seventh in points over the last 5 weeks and has won only a single game over that period. PWR still thinks there’s a chance as they have the easiest schedule going forward and they’re only one game out of first.

For definitions and calculations of all stats check out Bo Knows Stats. Numbers in parenthesis after a team name indicate the Team Score Rank (how well the team scores points).

Podcast 2016 – Week 8

Probably our best episode yet because this week we had back to back rank one team ERIC on to tell it like it be. We talk about the year so far, go over power rankings, talk strategy, and dig into the mailbag like usual. Don’t forget trade deadline is Nov 9th!

Grouping Teams

This week I put together a graph of each teams average points against their scores. Then I ran each team through a clustering algorithm to see which teams fit into which groups.  The groupings aren’t perfect, but a computer did it so don’t blame me.

The Top Dogs: These teams are top in points and wins and likely playoff bound.

  • Springfield Atoms
  • Nellis AFB Boomers

The Contenders: These are the teams all duking it out for playoff spots. They’ve all collected a decent amout of points or wins.

  • TGIF
  • Dreadmetal Pumaskulls
  • Fluffy Bunnies
  • Columbia Songbirds

Sneaking In: These teams are hoping to sneak into playoffs, but have scored significantly less points than the tier above.

  • Shittysauruses
  • Shenanihads

Toilet Bowl Bound: These are the garbage teams of the league, each hoping to escape the season without adding their name to the Atoms’ trophy.

  • Robot Unicorn
  • Macho Men
  • Giant Octopus
  • Butthole Surfers

And  just for fun here’s another chart with 3 clusters instead of 4:

tiers2

Week 8 Stats

AveragePoints RankLast 3SoSRoS SoSPWR RankWin% v Field
Nellis A.F.B. Boomers114.262119.158262.50%
Springfield Atoms116.341109.17107363.64%
Butthole Surfers98.2412104.5121238.64%
Dreadmetal Pumaskulls111.964113.1393651.14%
The Fluffy Bunnies110.335108.331212153.41%
Randy Savage Macho Men104.35897.8641144.32%
Giant Octopus102.7110109.9211937.50%
Philadelphia Shenanihads101.51187.8745840.91%
Robot Unicorn106.757101.7311047.73%
Shelbyville Shittysauruses104.18999.4789545.45%
Columbia Songbirds109.156107.73116759.09%
Team GoInsanelyFast114.253108.23710454.55%
  • Boomers are leading the league in points over the last 3 weeks with 3 straight wins. They are now the lone 6 win team and sitting atop a competitive division, and with Shenanihads (#8), Surfers (#12), and Macho (#11) on the schedule, should keep rolling.
  • Atoms bounced back after a tough bye week, but the Boomers are slowly catching up to the leader in points.
  • Butthole Surfers 3 game win-streak came to an end with the 2nd lowest score of week 8 and a slide back down to last in points for the season. The only team averaging under 100 points, Surfers could go undefeated the final 6 weeks and still probably miss playoffs.
  • Pumaskulls had their second worst score of the season, but have still scored the 2nd highest points over the last 3 weeks. Now second in their division, they’re tied for a wildcard spot and facing off against TGIF (#2) and Atoms (#1) in the next 3 weeks.
  • Bunnies had the highest score for week 8 and now slide into #1 in PWR. Bunnies have scored over 119 or less than 81 in all but one of their games this year. They’ve benefited from the easiest schedule so far this season, and will only face one top-half team over the final six weeks of the season.
  • Macho Men are the second most consistent team in the league and the 2nd most crappy. They’ve scored under the league average for 6 out of 8 weeks. The only team 4 games out of first, their season is likely over.
  • Octo is 3rd in points over the last 3 weeks but 3 games out of first and a wildcard spot. Although they scored their second highest point total of the season, it was only good for 8th highest total of the week. Just like Surfers, they’ll need to go undefeated just to have a chance at making playoffs.
  • Shenanihads a nice bounceback this week, but still only touting a 21% win vs field over the last 3 weeks. They’ll next face Boomers (#4), TGIF (#2), and Bunnies (#5).
  • Robot Unicorn posts their worst point total of the season and finds themselves slipping in a crowded division.
  • Shittysauruses scored the second highest point total of their season, and remain tied for first. After facing a gauntlet of TGIF (#2), Boomers (#4), and Pumaskulls (#3) with 2 wins, they now get face Macho Men (#11) and the Songbirds (#6).
  • Songbirds halted their losing streak and posted their  highest point total since week 4. They’re sporting the third highest win percentage vs the field, and are only one game out of first.
  • TGIF after losing 3 of the last 4, the top ranked team is now one game out of first, and dropped from 1 to 4 in PWR. They’ll face off against the Pumaskulls (#3) before the schedule gets easier.

For definitions and calculations of all stats check out Bo Knows Stats. Numbers in parenthesis after a team name indicate the Team Score Rank (how well the team scores points).

Playoff Bound

Ran the Playoff Machine this week and then aggregated it with a cool new tool FantasyPros tool for projecting playoff teams and here’s the results:

TeamPlayoff MachineFantasy ProsAverage
Dreadmetal Pumaskulls76.75%85%80.88%
Nellis A.F.B. Boomers80.21%72%76.11%
Springfield Atoms59.42%60%59.71%
Team GoInsanelyFast68.64%48%58.32%
The Fluffy Bunnies36.34%30%33.17%
Shelbyville Shittysauruses16.19%41%28.60%
Robot Unicorn26.50%20%23.25%
Columbia Songbirds23.07%18%20.54%
Philadelphia Shenanihads5.59%8%6.80%
Butthole Surfers2.06%10%6.03%
Randy Savage Macho Men2.90%4%3.45%
Giant Octopus2.33%3%2.67%

Podcast 2016 – Week 7

We barely made it after almost destroying the entire episode. Andrew’s with us this week to explain how to never make any mistakes ever, and then we talk about our regrets this season and who’s going to make playoffs.

Week 7 Stats

AveragePoints RankLast 3SoSRoS SoSPWR RankWin% v Field
Nellis A.F.B. Boomers112.904108.0062559.74%
Springfield Atoms115.811115.0358362.34%
Butthole Surfers99.7711108.73111242.86%
Dreadmetal Pumaskulls114.942123.7073455.84%
The Fluffy Bunnies106.967109.171012246.75%
Randy Savage Macho Men105.298105.27251146.75%
Giant Octopus101.569110.538101037.66%
Philadelphia Shenanihads99.691290.9049938.96%
Robot Unicorn112.515111.7334854.55%
Shelbyville Shittysauruses101.361091.17117638.96%
Columbia Songbirds108.00687.57126758.44%
Team GoInsanelyFast114.533103.63911155.84%
  • Boomers are rocking a 77% win vs the field over the last two weeks and like the Atoms, only have one week under 100 points.
  • Atoms had their worst game of the season and first game under 100 points. Still averaging the most points in the league, but points have dropped the last 3 weeks.
  • Butthole Surfers scored 99.80 points moving their average for the season from 99.77 to 99.77. No longer last in points but still the most hated team by PWR.
  • Pumaskulls have scored an average of 13 more points then the next highest team over the last 3 weeks with a 72% win against the field over the same time period.
  • Bunnies slide into #2 in PWR and tied for #1 in division. They should continue to roll with Butthole Surfers (#12), Giant Octopus (#10), and Philadelphia Shenanihads (#11) on the schedule.
  • Octo is 4th in points over the last 3 weeks but only 1 win to show for it.
  • Shenanihads posted their worst score of the season, dropping their average under 100 points and from #7 to #12 in points.
  • Robot Unicorn and the Pumaskulls are the only two teams with two scores of 140+. They both happened in week 1 and week 7.
  • Robot Unicorn is 3rd in points over the last 3 weeks but like Octo only has 1 win over that period.
  • Shittysauruses points have dropped 5 straight weeks, but managed to win 3 games over that time.
  • Songbirds are dead last in points over the last 5 weeks and on a 3 game losing streak. They’ll have to face Robot Unicorn (#4) and the Atoms (#1) next.
  • TGIF moves into the top PWR spot, but faces top Robo’s Rainbows teams Boomers (#5) and Pumaskulls (#3) before the schedule gets easier.

For definitions and calculations of all stats check out Bo Knows Stats. Numbers in parenthesis after a team name indicate the team’s Team Score Rank (how well the team scores points).