Looking back on last week’s picks and taking a look at Week 11 predictions
Week 10 Predictions (*indicates actual winner):
| Matchup | Team | Win% | Team | Win% |
| AFB vs BUTT | AFB | 60.39% | BUTT* | 39.61% |
| ATOM vs ROBO | ATOM* | 65.47% | ROBO | 34.53% |
| DMPS vs MCHO | DMPS* | 66.90% | MCHO | 33.10% |
| FLUF vs OCTO | FLUF | 58.52% | OCTO* | 41.48% |
| PHSH vs TGIF | PHSH* | 36.14% | TGIF | 63.86% |
| SHSR vs SONG | SHSR* | 41.17% | SONG | 58.83% |
So despite the larger confidence interval this week, the machine still only 2Β games right. It was upset city for everyone but Atoms and Pumaskulls. There’s a lot of factors the simulation doesn’t take into account, like Surfers improved lineup, Bunnies entire team being on bye, and Shenanihads winning by half a point, but I still expected better results.
Week 11 Predictions:
| Matchup | Team | Win% | Team | Win% |
| AFB vs MCHO | AFB | 79.39% | MCHO | 20.61% |
| ATOM vs DMPS | ATOM | 59.45% | DMPS | 40.55% |
| BUTT vs ROBO | BUTT | 57.83% | ROBO | 42.17% |
| FLUF vs PHSH | FLUF | 51.81% | PHSH | 48.19% |
| OCTO vs SONG | OCTO | 37.99% | SONG | 62.01% |
| SHSR vs TGIF | SHSR | 37.10% | TGIF | 62.90% |
So far the simulation is 5 for 12 in it’s picks, but I’ve got a better feeling about this week.
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