PWR Mailbag Submissions

PWR has finally learned how to speak and has some write-ins that were just too late for the mailbag. Here they are:

But today I was wondering if they basically gave 100% A+ ratings to transpire in a fantasy karma is not a fantasy

Kudos on jim

And if you planning any reasoning behind the time machine to shake off the pressure and I found a fantasy football topics and punishes them I hear all forms of this

I am grateful to live vicariously through hacking? I was he is my insane dancing skills speak to the high and Butthole Surfers Rule! How do I am too intelligent, too late on top RB and even that hackers aren’t helping, I was the time.

Obviously too handsome, and I would have godly powers, kills himself instead I am for the week. RIP Boomers. It says: SHENANINOPES.

the former champ Fantasy gods are a thing and The Year of me all things – Jon from Ikea

the Bo Knows is my first time dipping my hopelessness concerning my son.

Brett stroke himself off this week! Boomers will devour Giant Octopus, more of these two, they are actually a thread, just overall were falling into the league.

Jimmy, well earned break from dimension where I didn’t like they know, and Octo are on the bo bowl? Am I have emerged from Hopelessly Tall Austin, I’m talking heads and his lazy so-called predictions of fantasy anything

Even when my late season in flames, at the Atoms (3) Shitty and then they think ESPN is the Austin’s of scattershot, and happenings while younger generations are prepared for I hear you feel Justin…

Salutations Bo Bowl Champs….? Justin, what kinda podcast crew this season? Cox has no chance of Cleveland and they belong, losing shows that stuff works.

Boomers vs Bunnies: Octo’s newfound DGAF attitude opens the first one. Odell Beckham Jr. David Johnson who’s now Trump is so good idea. Sincerely, Hopelessly Tall

Now excuse me, people tell me again, Hopelessly Tall and their entire team. You think this matchup, magic or form an assault on top RB are the league. How do not real life as they have for waivers? Asking for Kidlike Extreme Dummies Nopehole Suckers Codumbia Nopebirds.

Mid-Season Stats

AveragePoints RankLast 3SoSRoS SoSPWR RankWin% v Field
Nellis A.F.B. Boomers101.615120.2761855.84%
Springfield Atoms82.21268.43431229.87%
Butthole Surfers115.11294.61212174.03%
Dreadmetal Pumaskulls100.71689.976350.65%
The Fluffy Bunnies88.410103.27810640.26%
Mega Shark86.41190.27271033.77%
The Nibblonians93.697101.5108748.05%
Giant Octopus115.271103.18911272.73%
Philadelphia Shenanihads107.13104.4739558.44%
Robot Unicorn90.64978.63115935.06%
Shelbyville Shittysauruses103.47495.7354461.04%
Team GoInsanelyFast91.79898.1121140.26%

For a quick mid-season review, I thought I’d post up some stats similar to the 2016 posts. You can check out all the definitions here.

  • The Boomers are quickly climbing up the rankings after posting an average score of 120.27 points per game over the last three weeks. This is a significant jump (15 points) over the next closest team. They’ll be tested as they take on the Surfers and Giant Octopus over the next two weeks. If the Boomers had the Fluffy Bunnies schedule, they’d be sitting at a comfortable 6-1 right now.
  • What do you call a team of mostly bench players and a couple people on bye? The Atoms. Surprisingly, this was only their third worst score of the year, but unsurprisingly it was the third time this season they’ve had the lowest score of the week.
  • Although second in points, the Surfers are stuck in second place for their division. They have the highest win percentage against the field (74.03%) and have had the high score two separate weeks. PWR thinks they have the most favorable schedule going forward with Bunnies (#12), Robot Unicorn (#7), Mega Shark (#10), and Nibblonians (#8) all in the bottom half of Team Score.
  • Defying all logic, the Dreadmetal Pumaskulls are sitting in first place of Division B despite being sixth in points and a roster made up of mostly waiver wire pick-ups. Although they remain the most consistent team, their last three scores have all been under 100 points and combine to the 10th worst average over the same time period.
  • Another logic defier, the Bunnies also sit atop their division, with an even worse 88 point average and paltry 40% wins versus the field. They’ve at least broke their streak of scoring under 100, and have posted scores of 112.4 and 100.8 the last two weeks. The wins they’ve collected plus a soft schedule going forward may be enough to propel them to a playoff seat despite the teams weak performance, as the playoff machine has given them a robust 45.7% chance to make playoffs.
  • Mega Shark unfortunately hasn’t found their groove yet this season, and although they haven’t scored many points, their opponents certainly have. Mega Shark’s opponents have scored an average of 111.5 points against them, which would be almost as bad as facing Giant Octopus or Butthole Surfers each week.
  • Although not breaking any record books, the Nibblonians have scored a steady 101.5 points over the last three weeks alongside three straight wins. Only one game out of first in their division and with a relatively soft schedule the next three weeks (TGIF #9, Robot Unicorn #7, Mega Shark #10), they’re only just behind Bunnies in odds of making it to the playoffs.
  • Despite a unremarkable average of 104.5 points over the last four weeks, Giant Octopus remains the point leader for the season. They’ll need to bounce back this week against Robot Unicorn after posting a declining score for three straight weeks.
  • Another team that has dropped for three straight weeks, the Shenanihads still rank third in points for the season, and are only one game out of first.
  • Only beating out the Atoms in terms of terribleness, Robot Unicorn has posted a disgusting 78.6 point average over the last three weeks, but thankfully facing the Atoms in one of those weeks. The Unicorn is now 9th in points for the season and facing Giant Octopus (#1), The Nibblonians (#8), and Butthole Surfers (#2) the next three weeks.
  • The Shittysaurses bounced back this week in the Domestic Bowl, posting the high score of the week. The Champ brought her record to 7-3 against her domestic partner, but still remains stuck behind Bunnies for first place in Division 1. Shittysaurus has been a bi-polar team this season, scoring four times over 115, but twice 70 or under.
  • Finally breaking out behind a freak score from Amari Cooper, TGIF “exploded” for 112.3 points this week, their highest of the season. With only two wins they’ve still got a lot of ground to cover to make playoffs, and still have to face Shenanihads (#3), Boomers (#5), and Giant Octopus (#1) to get there.

So let’s take a look at where each team is at:

The Top Dogs: The top four teams in points, all within one win of division lead.

  • Giant Octopus
  • Butthole Surfers (hidden behind OCTO)
  • Philadelphia Shenanihads
  • Shellbyville Shittysauruses

A Little Bit of Luck: These teams hardly have more points (if at all) than the tier below, but thanks to a little luck they’ve secured 4-5 wins each

  • Dreadmetal Pumaskulls
  • The Nibblonians
  • Fluffy Bunnies

A Tier Divided: This tier only has two teams, one on the rise and another barely staying afloat.

  • Nellis AFB Boomers
  • Robot Unicorn

Toilet Bowl Bound: Not looking good for the teams in this tier, all have a less than 10% chance to make playoffs.

  • TGIF
  • Mega Shark
  • Springfield Atoms

 

Playoff Chances

I usually save this for a little later in the season since a lot can change, but lets go ahead and take a look at the current playoff chances of each team. Remember, there’s six teams going to playoffs this year, so the chances for the top teams is a lot higher even this early in the season. Also remember that Scruffy Looking Nerf Herders won the Bo Bowl when they were at 0.7% to even make the playoffs. You can view the code used to generate the predictions here.

TeamPlayoff Chances
Giant Octopus99.60%
Butthole Surfers99.23%
Dreadmetal Pumaskulls98.96%
Philadelphia Shenanihads98.95%
Shelbyville Shittysauruses62.27%
The Fluffy Bunnies45.66%
The Nibblonians42.06%
Nellis A.F.B. Boomers25.76%
Robot Unicorn15.57%
Mega Shark7.30%
Springfield Atoms4.26%
Team GoInsanelyFast0.39%

Matchup of the Week – Week 7

Two brothers facing off for the first time since week 11 in 2014! It’s a revenge game for Mega Shark as they’ve lost the last three games and have a lifetime 3-9 record against the Boomers. They’ve got an uphill battle as the Boomers have been surging the last three weeks, scoring an average of 114 points per game, compared to Mega Shark’s paltry 81.

These teams first played each other in Bo Knows inaugural season on Week ONE, with the Boomers just beating out Mega Shark by only six points. Check out these teams:

Although there’s a lot of unfamiliarity here, there’s a few familiar faces. Aaron Rodgers was repping for Boomers at the time, and who knew that Mega Shark was going back to his roots when he drafted Frank Gore?

Now let’s look at what each team has done so far this season:

Just looking at each team, it would look like the Boomers were heavily favored, but the player projections have the teams at a dead even split of 105 points each. Mega Shark will be missing Golden Tate on bye and Aaron Rodgers to injury, and it looks like Zeke’s status is currently up in the air for the Boomers. The projections like the Boomers power RB duo of Gordon and Ingram, but also Mega Sharks’ depth. Depending on how each team sets their lineup, we may be waiting till Monday night and Chris Thompson and Nelson Agholor for a conclusion.

Who do you think will win? Make sure to leave a comment and vote on the game.

Matchup of the Week – Week 6

This week’s match up features our division leaders facing off in the first week of inter-division play. Although this is the Surfers second season, they have never faced off against the Shenanihads. The Surfers have dominated the first 4 weeks of the season, topping the leader board with an 169 point performance, but crashed back to earth last week with a dismal 70.9 points.  Although they’ve only ever exceeded the Surfers point total once, the Shenanihads have been fairly consistent all season, and have slowly but surely increased their point total week by week.

The two projection systems are at odds again this week, with the projections based on previous scores favoring the Surfers, while projections using player projections favoring the Shenanihads and their prime player matchups. Both systems project about 115-120 points per team, which seems very likely given each teams performance so far.

 

The Shenanihads got most of their bye-week woes out last week, but the Surfers will unfortunately be missing Doug Baldwin and Andy Dalton (lol). The Surfers definitely have the edge in the running back department, but unfortunately are edged out at nearly every other position. If things stay close through the morning games, all eyes may be on the Broncos game which include players for both the Surfers and the Shenanihads.

Who do you think will win? Make sure to leave a comment and vote on the game.

Podcast 2017 – Week 5

Justin and Austin break down the insanity of week 5, and then spend an agonizing amount of time evaluating each team. Make sure you stick through till the end to hear some hot takes about The Last Jedi. Also we need volunteers for the next two weeks so let Justin know if you’d like to guest star!

Update: The Josh Gordon documentary discussed.

Matchup of the Week – Week 5

This week’s Matchup of the Week features two teams duking it out in the heart of Division 1. The matchup features two different teams, as The Nibblonians will look to end their scoring slide, and  Robot Unicorn will try to keep up their consistent scoring.

We have two projection systems here at Bo Knows Fantasy, one based on individual player projections, and another based on team projections based on performance thus far. Just by looking at points scored, it would appear as though Robot Unicorn is heavily favored.

But looking at player projections for each team, we see a 50/50 split between the two teams. Each team will be missing a significant contributor with Drew Brees and Devonta Freeman on bye. Robot Unicorn is still favored at the running back position, mostly backed by Carlos Hyde’s strong start to the season. Both teams have strong WR1s and Antonio Brown should be a great match for Jordy Nelson. With (at the time of this writing) all players slotted in playing in early Sunday games, this one should be wrapped up by early afternoon.

Who do you think will win? Make sure to leave a comment and vote on the game.

Podcast 2017 – Week 4

Austin and Justin spend a ridiculous amount of time shooting the shit and not doing hard hitting analysis, but then hit hard with the analysis. This episode has it all, power rankings, match-up of the week, boston john, everything. Check it out.