Fantasy football is finally started and we’re here with the ATOMS to talk about all the surprises and upsets from the first week.
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Podcast 2019 – Week 0
Season TEN is here! Austin and Justin are here after the draft to go over the draft itself, all the activity since the draft, and the completely speculative power rankings! New for this season is a new steamy section where Austin reads his favorite erotic novels on air.
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Full Keeper Rules
I’ve updated the Bo Knows Rulebook and here are the full keeper rules with a little explanation.
Amount: A team will be able to keep on their roster a total of four players.
As determined by the voting round we just did. This is four players total. Before the draft each season you will have to decide which of the players you would like to keep *up to* a total of four. If you don’t like your players or you only have one or two that you want to keep, that’s fine.
Cost:
Drafted players: Drafted players cost will be the same as their auction value from the season in which they were drafted.
Traded players: A player traded to another team will retain it’s previous cost.
Drafted players dropped to waiver: A player that was drafted but later dropped to the waiver wire will retain their draft price if they are later added to a roster and kept for the following season.
Waiver Wire: A player that is picked up from the waiver wire will have a base cost of $1.
This is mostly covered in the previous analysis posts but should hopefully be self explanatory. The drafted players being dropped is to prevent situations where a team with high FAAB drops their $70 player, just to pick them back up off the waiver wire and keep a “$1” waiver wire player. This also includes a different team picking up a dropped drafted player.
Inflation: Each year a player is kept, their cost will increase following the following formula (All values are rounded up):
(Cost + $5) * 1.2
This represents a flat $5 as well as a 20% increase to the players price.
Again, something we voted on. Only important thing to note is that the $5 is added *before* the increase in percent. This means that a $1 waiver wire player will cost $8 to keep.
Auction Budget: A team’s auction budget will be reduced by the cost of the total sum of the players they have decided to keep after inflation. A team cannot keep more players than they can afford to fill out their roster at $1 a slot.
($200 – Keepers Cost / Remaining Roster slots) must be greater than $1
After each team declares their keepers you’ll be given your auction budget. If I’m keeping a $46 player and two $8 waiver wire players, my budget for the upcoming auction would be $138. If I’m just keeping 4 waiver wire players ($8 x 4), I’d have $168 for the upcoming auction. If I scored on a bunch of expensive-ish players ($48, $36, $22, and $35 after inflation), I would only have $59 for the upcoming auction. I only included the last line in case it comes up, but you would have to keep $186 worth of players to violate that rule.
Duration: There is no max duration as to how long a team can keep a player.
Because of the reasonably high inflation, there’s no reason to include artificial caps on how long players can be kept. You can see the duration analysis here if you’d like more examples.
Deadline: Only players acquired before the trade deadline will be eligible to be kept the following season.
Obviously you can’t trade for players after the trade deadline, but waiver wire picks will only be eligible to be kept if they were acquired *before* the trade deadline. Any pickups made after that will be ineligible to be kept the following year.
Deadline to declare keepers: Players be kept must be declared one week before the draft.
The last item we voted on. One week before the draft everyone will declare to the league up to four players they’d like to keep and the commissioner will post the keepers along with each teams budget online for viewing.
Keeper Results!
Thanks everyone for voting! Let’s see how everything shook out.
How many players should you be able to keep?
This one was extremely close, with 4 keepers just edging out 3.
Note that this is 4 keepers *total* and not per year or anything. So if you have 4 amazing keepers from the year before and now have 3 more new from the current season, you’ll still have to cut down to 4 total.
How much should inflation be?
This one was less close but there were still some fans of the aggressive/high inflation.
How long before the draft should you have to declare who you want to keep for the upcoming season?
And the last one. It seems most everyone was on the same page about declaring keepers as late as possible.
Long Term Keeper Pricing
So now it’s time to look at how some of these different inflation models will affect how long you can keep a player. I’ll look at different players from different price points, all with their drafted price from the previous season. I’ll be posting most of the prices through the years, but in general I’m going to treat the cutoff at what their value is in the upcoming season.
I’m posting the flat $5 increase per year on this sheet but I think this shows pretty quickly that it’s a broken system that’s not worth using. For almost all players you’d likely be able to keep them for their entire career.
Also, these keeper values assume that the player stays in perfect health, in the perfect situation for their entire career. As I’m sure everyone can attest, future value is far from certain in fantasy football and I would be shocked if you could list more than 10 guys who kept their value for more than 3 straight years.
James Conner
The dream. You hit on a $1 draft player or a waiver wire pick who’s now going near the first round. How long will you be able to keep this type of player under each scenario?
Original Price: $1
Current Value: $40
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | |
| High | $14.00 | $29.00 | $47.00 | $69.00 | $95.00 | $126.00 |
| Med | $8.00 | $16.00 | $26.00 | $38.00 | $52.00 | $69.00 |
| Low | $6.00 | $11.00 | $16.00 | $21.00 | $26.00 | $31.00 |
So with the high inflation you’re probably only keeping Conner for two extra years before his value will become pretty questionable. With Medium inflation you should be able to keep him for four extra years with a possible fifth if he really crushed it.
Kenny Golladay
Original Price: $4
Current Value: $23
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | |
| High | $17.00 | $33.00 | $52.00 | $75.00 | $102.00 | $135.00 |
| Med | $11.00 | $20.00 | $30.00 | $42.00 | $57.00 | $75.00 |
| Low | $9.00 | $14.00 | $19.00 | $24.00 | $29.00 | $34.00 |
A nice value for the first couple years but his value peters out pretty quickly beyond that. With the high inflation you would maybe keep for one or two years. With the medium inflation you’d probably keep him 2-3 years and maybe four if he turned into a real stud.
Deshaun Watson
Original Price: $7
Current Value: $17
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | |
| High | $21.00 | $38.00 | $58.00 | $82.00 | $111.00 | $146.00 |
| Med | $15.00 | $24.00 | $35.00 | $48.00 | $64.00 | $83.00 |
| Low | $12.00 | $17.00 | $22.00 | $27.00 | $32.00 | $37.00 |
Under high inflation I’m not even sure you would keep him one year and with medium you’d likely just keep one extra year.
Mark Ingram
Original Price: $13
Current Value: $17
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | |
| High | $28.00 | $46.00 | $68.00 | $94.00 | $125.00 | $162.00 |
| Med | $22.00 | $33.00 | $46.00 | $62.00 | $81.00 | $104.00 |
| Low | $18.00 | $23.00 | $28.00 | $33.00 | $38.00 | $43.00 |
Another tough keep. I’m not even sure under anything but low inflation that you’d keep him at all unless you really liked him.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
Original Price: $22
Current Value: $45
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | |
| High | $39.00 | $59.00 | $83.00 | $112.00 | $147.00 | $189.00 |
| Med | $33.00 | $46.00 | $62.00 | $81.00 | $104.00 | $131.00 |
| Low | $27.00 | $32.00 | $37.00 | $42.00 | $47.00 | $52.00 |
With high inflation you’d be able to keep him one extra year. With medium inflation you’d be look at an extra two years. Not bad for a stud wide receiver.
Tyreek Hill
Original Price: $33
Current Value: $44
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | |
| High | $52.00 | $75.00 | $102.00 | $135.00 | $174.00 | $221.00 |
| Med | $46.00 | $62.00 | $81.00 | $104.00 | $131.00 | $164.00 |
| Low | $38.00 | $43.00 | $48.00 | $53.00 | $58.00 | $63.00 |
Yikes. Maybe one extra year with medium inflation but that’s all.
Alvin Kamara
Original Price: $51
Current Value: $57
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | |
| High | $74.00 | $101.00 | $134.00 | $173.00 | $220.00 | $276.00 |
| Med | $68.00 | $88.00 | $112.00 | $141.00 | $176.00 | $218.00 |
| Low | $56.00 | $61.00 | $66.00 | $71.00 | $76.00 | $81.00 |
Yikes again. With medium and high inflation there’s just no way you’re keeping any of your studs unless you absolutely love them. Even then you’re only looking at one extra year max.
Even More Keeper Analysis
I decided to do even more keeper analysis cause I can. I added a medium inflation option ($5 + 20%) to split the difference between the high and low. I personally like this one the most because you’ll see that you can keep a lot more of your waiver wire and mid/late round guys, while the top studs are sent back to the pool for being too expensive.
TIGF
| PLAYER | POS | Cost | High Inflation | Med Inflation | Low Inflation | 2019 Value |
| Deshaun Watson | QB | $ 7.00 | $ 21.00 | $ 15.00 | $ 12.00 | $ 19.00 |
| Mark Ingram II | RB | $ 13.00 | $ 28.00 | $ 22.00 | $ 18.00 | $ 19.00 |
| Jordan Howard | RB | $ 34.00 | $ 53.00 | $ 47.00 | $ 39.00 | $ 7.00 |
| LeSean McCoy | RB | $ 18.00 | $ 34.00 | $ 28.00 | $ 23.00 | $ 7.00 |
| Josh Gordon | WR | $ 16.00 | $ 32.00 | $ 26.00 | $ 21.00 | $ 1.00 |
| Jarvis Landry | WR | $ 14.00 | $ 29.00 | $ 23.00 | $ 19.00 | $ 9.00 |
| Randall Cobb | WR | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 1.00 |
| Austin Hooper | TE | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 3.00 |
| Leonard Fournette | RB | $ 46.00 | $ 68.00 | $ 62.00 | $ 51.00 | $ 29.00 |
| Ben Roethlisberger | QB | $ 6.00 | $ 20.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 11.00 | $ 5.00 |
| Adrian Peterson | RB | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 4.00 |
| DeSean Jackson | WR | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 5.00 |
| Dede Westbrook | WR | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 7.00 |
| Jonnu Smith | TE | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 1.00 |
| Luke Kuechly | LB | $ 7.00 | $ 21.00 | $ 15.00 | $ 12.00 | $ 10.00 |
| Aaron Donald | DT | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 8.00 |
| Matt Milano | LB | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 1.00 |
| Joey Bosa | DE | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 8.00 |
High Inflation
Inflation is so high for this tier that most teams won’t even really have an option of keep anyone unless they really hit on a player. For TGIF the only player I was comfortable keeping was Deshaun Watson at $21.
Medium Inflation
With Medium Inflation it’s going to be a lot of gut calls and do you want to keep guys at exactly their value. Here’s a list of guys TGIF could potentially keep:
- Deshaun Watson: $15
- Mark Ingram: $22
- DeSean Jackson: $8
- DeDe WestBrook: $8
- IDP: Any of these guys for $8
If he kept all the offensive players and one IDP guys he’d be looking at $61 spent and going into the draft with $139. No real studs on his team so that’s likely where he’d spend his money.
Low Inflation
Pretty much the same list as before but he could throw in Adrian Peterson and another IDP guy if he was a big believer.
Boomers
I took at look at Boomers who had a lot of surprising value on their team in keepers with some good pick-ups and savvy trades.
| PLAYER | POS | Cost | High Inflation | Med Inflation | Low Inflation | 2019 Value |
| Cam Newton | QB | $ 10.00 | $ 24.00 | $ 18.00 | $ 15.00 | $ 12.00 |
| Phillip Lindsay | RB | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 22.00 |
| Nick Chubb | RB | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 33.00 |
| Julian Edelman | WR | $ 8.00 | $ 22.00 | $ 16.00 | $ 13.00 | $ 30.00 |
| Demaryius Thomas | WR | $ 17.00 | $ 33.00 | $ 27.00 | $ 22.00 | $ 1.00 |
| Tyrell Williams | WR | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 3.00 |
| Kenny Golladay | WR | $ 4.00 | $ 17.00 | $ 11.00 | $ 9.00 | $ 22.00 |
| Trey Burton | TE | $ 8.00 | $ 22.00 | $ 16.00 | $ 13.00 | $ 1.00 |
| Jimmy Graham | TE | $ 14.00 | $ 29.00 | $ 23.00 | $ 19.00 | $ 2.00 |
| Giovani Bernard | RB | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 1.00 |
| Jakeem Grant | WR | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 1.00 |
| Wendell Smallwood | RB | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 1.00 |
| Latavius Murray | RB | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 6.00 |
| John Ross | WR | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 1.00 |
| Fred Warner | LB | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 1.00 |
| Jayon Brown | LB | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 1.00 |
| Alec Ogletree | LB | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 1.00 |
| Landon Collins | S | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 5.00 |
High Inflation
Even with the high inflation Boomers have some great picks they’ll be able to take into the new season:
- Phillip Lindsay: $14
- Nick Chubb: $14
- Julian Edelman: $22
- Kenny Golladay: $17
Only $67 spent and he has two good RB’s and two good WR’s. With $133 leftover he can even spend up to grab another stud or two and then fill out the rest of his roster.
Medium Inflation
The Medium Inflation list is going to look almost exactly the same but he’ll now have the option to make some gut check guys like Latavius Murray, Cam Newton, and Landon Collins.
At the price he has these guys he’ll now be able to keep them for multiple years if desired. Something I haven’t touched on yet is how restrictive the high inflation prices will be on keeping a player long term. I’ll touch on that in a future article.
Low Inflation
Pretty close to the previous lists, but he now has the option to keep a lot of his team including all the fringe bench guys if he’d like.
Keeper Deep Dive
In this article I’ll look at my team from last year and go over some potential keeper decisions (if keepers were active last year).
First, lets look at my roster at the end of the year. For low (cheap) inflation I used a flat $5 per season per player. For high (expensive) inflation I used $10 + 20% of the players draft price.
| PLAYER | POS | ACQ | Cost | High Inflation | Low Inflation | 2019 Value |
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | Free Agency | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 28.00 |
| Alvin Kamara | RB | Draft | $ 51.00 | $ 74.00 | $ 56.00 | $ 55.00 |
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | Draft | $ 49.00 | $ 71.00 | $ 54.00 | $ 56.00 |
| James Conner | RB | Draft | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 40.00 |
| A.J. Green | WR | Draft | $ 36.00 | $ 56.00 | $ 41.00 | $ 17.00 |
| Keenan Allen | WR | Trade | $ 46.00 | $ 68.00 | $ 51.00 | $ 33.00 |
| Tyler Lockett | WR | Trade | $ 10.00 | $ 24.00 | $ 15.00 | $ 23.00 |
| George Kittle | TE | Free Agency | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 30.00 |
| Sony Michel | RB | Draft | $ 6.00 | $ 20.00 | $ 11.00 | $ 23.00 |
| John Brown | WR | Draft | $ 3.00 | $ 16.00 | $ 8.00 | $ 2.00 |
| Rob Gronkowski | TE | Trade | $ 36.00 | $ 56.00 | $ 41.00 | $ – |
| Courtland Sutton | WR | Free Agency | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 6.00 |
| Sammy Watkins | WR | Trade | $ 6.00 | $ 20.00 | $ 11.00 | $ 14.00 |
| Christian Kirk | WR | Free Agency | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 8.00 |
| Jaylen Samuels | RB | Free Agency | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 3.00 |
| C.J. Mosley | LB | Draft | $ 5.00 | $ 18.00 | $ 10.00 | $ 6.00 |
| Cory Littleton | LB | Free Agency | $ 1.00 | $ 14.00 | $ 6.00 | $ 2.00 |
| Bobby Wagner | LB | Trade | $ 10.00 | $ 24.00 | $ 15.00 | $ 12.00 |
Now I’ll walk through each player and see what I want to do in an unlimited keeper format.
Patrick Mahomes
With low or high inflation this one is a slam dunk keep. I don’t normally like paying $14 for QB, but this is too much value
Alvin Kamara
On the low inflation side I’d probably keep because I like the player so much and the value is very close to what he’s going for on draft day . On the expensive inflation, there’s just no way I can keep him at $74. Best to let him go and just bid on him again and try getting him around that $55 mark if I want him again.
CMC
Same story as Kamara. Definitely keeping at the cheap inflation but can’t possible keep at $71.
James Conner
Another slam dunk pick like Mahomes. Good value no matter what the cost of inflation is.
AJ Green
Release at either price. Without his injury it might have been close at $41 but now it’s way too much money and if i really want him I can try to just bid on him again for $10-20.
Keenan Allen
Release at either price point. He’s a great player but I got him in a draft and I think the previous owner paid too much in the draft. Best to release and re-bid if I want him.
Tyler Lockett
Another trade acquisition this one is a little tougher. At the low end of inflation I definitely keep but on the high end I’m not so sure. Looking at the rest of my high end keep team (Mahomes, Conner) I probably keep because I’ve saved so much on those players that I can afford to keep Lockett at this price even though it’s not really a “value”.
George Kittle
Another slam dunk keep at either price point.
Sony Michel
Probably keep at either price point but I’m not so sure I’m a Michel believer any more and probably would return him at the expensive price point and let someone else deal with it.
John Brown
Throw back at either price. He was a decent deal last year but was terrible down the stretch and if I want him again I can get him for peanuts.
Gronk
Doesn’t play anymore so easy drop…. right?
Courtland Sutton.
Probably release at either price point because it’s another dude I’m out on. Even if I want him I can probably rebuy at the low price.
Sammy Watkins
Definite keep at the low price point and a maybe keep even at $20 if I’m a big Watkins believer.
Christian Kirk
Throw back at either price because I can probably get him back if I want him.
Jaylen Samuels
Throw back at either price point.
All IDP guys
Probably throw back all at their prices. IDP guys just go for way too cheap.
High Inflation Team
So lets look and see at the guys I want to keep if we have high inflation:
- Patrick Mahomes: $14
- James Conner: $14
- Tyler Lockett: $24
- George Kittle: $14
$66 worth of players so I’ll have $134 going into the draft. I have a good QB and TE, a stud RB and a decent WR. I’ll have plenty of money to grab a couple studs at RB/WR and then fill out my roster from there. The high inflation definitely locked me out from keeping any of my studs and most of my late round draft picks and waiver wire guys unless they were absolute bombs.
Low Inflation Team
- Alvin Kamara: $56
- CMC: $54
- Patrick Mahomes: $6
- James Conner: $6
- Tyler Lockett: $15
- George Kittle: $6
- Sony Michel: $11
- Sammy Watkins: $11
I’m now able to keep my studs and I have a much more fleshed out roster. This would cost me a total of $165 to keep all these guys so I’d really only have $35 to fill out the rest of my 10 positions, BUT I have almost an entire roster full of guys I like.
Can Only Keep Three Players
This is where it gets a little interesting. If I can only keep three players my team is still going to look exactly like the High Inflation team, I’d just have to make one cut. With the low inflation team I’d have to make some interesting decisions. Keep my studs and spend the rest of my money on low value guys to kill out my roster? Or keep my crazy values like Conner/Mahomes/Kittle and then re-spend my money on whatever studs are available in the draft poo.
Keeper Rule Change
For our tenth season we’ve decided to added an exciting change to the league, Keepers! Did you make a great pick-up week three of the waiver wire or hit on a late round draft pick? Now you’ll be able to keep the momentum going into the next year by keeping those players.
Keeper Basics
The keeper basics are pretty simple. Each year you’ll get to look at your team from the previous year and decide which players you’d like to keep. Each player will have an assigned “price” that will impact the upcoming draft. Their price will be based on what they cost in the previous years draft, plus some amount of inflation. Let’s look at some examples.
Last year I drafted James Conner for a measly $1. Looking at FantasyPros I can see that this year he’s going for around $40. No matter what the inflation is I know he’ll be a great keeper at that price. Let’s say after inflation (if we just used +$10 a year) his price is $11. I get to keep him on my 2019 roster, but I now only have $189 to spend in the upcoming auction.
A player on the opposite spectrum would be someone like Le’Veon Bell who was drafted for $73. After inflation his price would be $80-90 and is obviously not worth. A team would decide not to keep this player and “release” them back to the draft pool so that teams could bid on him in the upcoming draft. Even if the original team wanted Le’Veon Bell on their team again, it would be smart to release him back to the pool and re-bid on him, likely landing him at a much cheaper price.
Waiver wire picks will also be eligible to be kept. A player picked up from the waiver wire will have a price of $1 (plus inflation).
If we were allowed unlimited keepers, I might look at my team and decide I want to keep six players: $20, $30, $10 drafted players, and three waiver wire players. Let’s say the total of these players comes out to $110 after inflation. That means I would have $90 to fill the remaining 12 spots on my roster.
Keeper Options
A lot of the voting boils down to how long you can keep keepers. How many players you can keep, how long you can keep them, and how much inflation should be. These are all control measure to determine how many keepers are kept per year, and how many go back to the pool. You can limit how many keepers teams have by having a hard limit, having high inflation, or limit how many years they can be kept. They’re all means to the same end. There’s a lot of different combinations to get to the same thing. I could allow for unlimited keepers per team, but want aggressive inflation ($10 + 20%) to make sure that players are too expensive to keep. Or I could want low inflation (flat $5 increase) so that it’s easy to keep players, but I vote so we’re only allowed to keep a player for three years so that top talent gets returned periodically.
Personally I’m a fan of using inflation to control how many players are kept per team because it simplifies things, but you could make an argument for any combination.
How many players should you be able to keep?
We’ll have to decide if we want a set number of keepers, or if you’re only limited by the amount of salary that you have. If you had an entire roster of deals, you might be able to keep your whole team for $140 as an example.
The pros of having a limited amount of keepers is that it keeps the player pool for draft day full. Teams will likely just keep their very best keeper values (cheap guys) and release their more expensive player. The cons mean that you may have a lot of guys that you like at great values, but are unable to keep them due to the restrictions. This means you’ll have to return some of them to pool either way.
On the opposite spectrum we could allow unlimited keepers and you would only be limited by the cost of your total keepers. You would just need to keep enough money open to spend $1 per open position on your team for the draft. The pros of this option are that you can keep as many guys as you’re comfortable with if you had a really good draft or a good waiver wire pick-up. The cons are a much smaller draft pool for those who maybe didn’t keep so many players.
How many years can you keep a player?
There’s a lot of overlap with the pros and cons from above, but this is about how long can you keep a guy. Inflation will help return guys to the draft pool as as their prices increase, but someone like James Conner could be kept for maybe 4-5 years before his price would be too much to keep. The NFL is very volatile so a lot of players will be returning to the pool any way because of injury, price, and down years so there are some natural limitations. There are a few gems that may slip through (like Shittysauruses draft Alvin Kamara for $1 his rookie season).
How much inflation?
There are potentially two different components to inflation. The first is a flat increase from year to year. Say inflation is a flat $10. If you draft a guy for $1, he’ll then be $11 the next year and $21 the next, etc. A $50 pick will be $60 the next year.
The second potential component is a percent based increase. This would likely be combined with a flat increase to make sure $1 guys and waiver picks see some kind of uptick in their first few years. The percent component would make sure that guys on the top end saw heavy inflation to return them to the pool. From some of the previous examples, the James Conner pick would go from $1 to ($5 + %10) $7 to keep the next year. Le’Veon Bell would go from $73 to ($5 + %10) $86. A $6 increase for the cheap player but a $13 increase for the expensive player.
A flat increase keeps things even across the board and makes inflation across the board easy to calculate, but it means that cheap players are seeing the same increase as expensive players who would barely be seeing an increase at all.
A percent increase means that players see a more fair increase in price from cheap to expensive but also means that expensive players will see very high increases from year to year and will be unlikely to be kept.
You’ll also need to decide how you feel about higher and lower inflation. Higher priced inflation means that players will be unable to be kept as long, and will create a more dynamic player pool as expensive players are kicked back to the draft pool each year. Lower priced inflation means you’ll be able to keep the players you like for longer, but it also means more teams will likely keep more players for longer and the draft pool will be a little smaller.
How long before draft should you have to declare your keepers?
This one is a lot more straightforward. The earlier you declare your keepers, the more time the rest of the league has to know who is going to be available for the draft. The downside of this is that your keeper may get injured before the season starts and you’ll wish you had kept someone else, or a situation may change. A late declare date means you’ll have all the information you need to make smart keeper choices, but you won’t know who’s available to draft until right up until the draft.
2019 Rule Changes
The rules have been discussed, voted on, and decided. Let’s take a look at the results:
Raise Kickoff Return Yards (KR) from 0.04 to 0.1 like we did for Punt Return Yards (PR).
Passed! 11-1
Change schedule so that you play everyone in the league once and play random people in your division two times.
Passed! 12-0
Add three more IDP spots
Failed to pass 🙁 6-6
Get rid of ESPN’s “undroppable” list
Passed! 12-0
Reducing solo tackle scoring and increase assisted tackle scoring.Reduce solos from 1.5 to 1.25 Increase ASS from .75 to 1
Passed! 8-4
Add some amount of keepers
Passed! 7-5
Despite IDP’s massive popularity and success from the previous year, it failed expansion by one vote. Let’s look at some of the quotes from last year about IDP:
IDP is the most fun I’ve ever had with my clothes on
Giant Octopus
IDP cured my depression and helped me find my missing sibling
Anonymous Team
It was amazing being on a fantasy team this year
Adoree’ Jackson
But heading into this season there was some trepidation about adding more spots.
I’m a dum dum who hates fun
IDP Hater
I had just shit my pants so I hit no on more IDP spots
Fantasy Football Hater
If I had it my way we wouldn’t draft any players, offensive or defensive, and would instead sit under a tree with a good book.
Lost_Soul_69
Even with the tragic loss of IDP expansion, the adding of keepers will be a massive upgrade to Bo Knows Fantasy Football. There will be a second email sent out this week to discuss different keeper options which we’ll eventually vote on.
Thanks everyone for responding so quickly and I hope you’re excited for the draft!
Podcast 2018 – Week 15
It’s the final week of the season and who better to wrap it up as we head into the Bo and Toilet Bowl than Ashley, Brett, and Ryan! They’re here to talk about match-ups, the season in general, and a fully loaded mailbag.
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Podcast 2018 – Week 14
Holy shit we’re still here! It’s week two of playoffs and we’ve got some super exciting match-ups. Stick through this abbreviated episode to hear Austin and Justin’s thoughts on the first week of match-ups, the upcoming second week, and who might make it *all the way*. No mailbag this week because you guys suck ass!
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Podcast 2018 – Week 13
Matt’s here this week to catch up on his season, talk about the changes since day one, and take a look at the upcoming playoff schedule.
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