Archive: Author: commish

One team is a model of consistency, while the other is hot and cold (although their cold is well above average). Shittysauruses and TGIF will face off this week in a battle of our top two teams.

These teams are both seasoned veterans, and have played each other a total of 13 times. TGIF has taken 7 of those games, and Shitty now has a chance to even it up. This season TGIF holds the top 3 scores of the season, and although they finished a three week stretch where they were averaging only 135 points, they bounced right back to their 190+ point ways last week. Shitty has been on the opposite end, always scoring around 140-150 points, although that total has been dropping since week 3. Let’s look at this season so far:

Shitty is playing TGIF at an opportune time. The line-up is looking extra Questionable, and they’ll be without stud RBs James Robinson and Chris Carson. On top of these setbacks, the Thursday night game was also a bit of a let down for both teams, though TGIF is probably feeling the sting a little more with only 5.7 points from #1 WR Calvin Ridley. TGIF still has a lot to look forward to – they’ll have Russell Wilson back in the line up  and may have access to Jamaal Williams if Aaron Jones sits again. Shittysauruses will hope for big performances out of their core position players this week. While they’ve all been decent with nice floors, they have yet to provide a high ceiling. With a lot of question marks on both sides the flex plays should interesting, and TGIF will look to leverage their slight IDP edge to push them over the top.

ESPN and PWR both favor Shittysauruses after the Thursday night game with a TGIF score that looks a lot like their weeks 4-6 scores. With the way TGIF has performed historically, it’s their game to lose. Shittysauruses will have the bulk of their line-up playing at 10AM on Sunday, but the games will carry all the way through to MNF where we’ll see an IDP showdown between Blake Martinez (#2) and Devin White (#1), (and maybe Leonard Fournette). 

Final Prediction:

Shittysauruses: 142

TGIF: 137  

Who do you think will win? Make sure to leave a comment and vote on the game.

Two 3-3 teams both in the middle of their own tough divisional race. A win for either team could catapult them into the upper half of their division, in a season where it looks like every win will matter.

These teams have matched up three times since The Nibblonians joined in 2018, but have gone to Giant Octopus all three times. Is now the perfect time for Nibblonian revenge? These teams certainly aren’t an even matchup coming into this week. Nibblonians are third in points for the season while Giant Octopus is dead last. Let’s take a look at how that breaks down:

The matchup becomes interesting when you look at the teams recent performance. Giant Octopus just put up their highest score of the season (145) while The Nibblonians have just put up their second worst score (131.36). Each team has scored about 136 points over the last two weeks. The Nibblonians will also be without one of their star receivers, Adam Thielen, while Giant Octopus will miss rising star Justin Jefferson. No team has scored more points from the WR position than Nibblonians, and their impressive depth has given them strong performance from the Flex positions. Giant Octopus will rely on Kyler Murray to give them the edge, and will have to do something to fix the tight end position. Giant Octopus has scored an average of 1.5 points at tight end, absolutely dead bottom of the rankings. 

ESPN will surely give the nod to Nibblonians once their full line up is set, though not by much. My model gives a slight edge to Nibblonians as well, with most of the extra points coming from tight end and flex positions, where Giant Octopus has struggled. This game will kick off with Darius Slayton on Thursday night, and carry through with Cooper Kupp on Monday night. 

Final Prediction:

The Nibblonians: 147

Giant Octopus: 142  

Who do you think will win? Make sure to leave a comment and vote on the game.

A team surging and a team having a hard time collecting wins. Who will come out on top?

The Surfers joined the league in 2016 and who to better show them what defeat feels like than the Shittysauruses. Surfers could only muster 106 points in their first week of fantasy football and Shelbyville beat them easily. The Surfers would go on to finish with a respectable 9-5 record, but Shittysauruses would take home the Trophy. The teams have played a total of 4 times, and each team coming home with 2 victories. This year, the teams are nearly tied for the most points over the last three weeks, each scoring an average of 160. Lets take a look at their 2020 stats:

Both teams are currently holding a 2-3 record, yet both teams could have more. Shelbyville is sitting with 72% wins against the field and the Surfers with a respectable 58%. Both teams have done reasonably well with the core positions: Strong RB starters, high ceiling WRs, but Shellbyville has struggled recently with the QB, and the Surfers have been fighting to find a starting TE all season. Unfortunately for Surfers, their top weapon Dalvin Cook will sit this week with an injury. 

I can’t speak for ESPN because of the Surfers wacky roster strategies, but PWR currently favors the Shitty dinosaur. While IDP and their WRs project about the same, Shitty has a huge advantage at the RB and TE position. This matchup could see a combined 14 players in the 10am slate, but most of the heavy hitters won’t be playing until the afternoon and Monday slates. Zeke will close out the last game of the week in what will hopefully be a nail biter. 

Final Prediction:

Butthole Surfers: 137

Shellbyville Shittysauruses: 148  

Who do you think will win? Make sure to leave a comment and vote on the game.

A matchup between a maybe underrated Bunnies and the vastly overrated Boomers.

These teams have played each other only 7 times since 2011, with no matchups in the 2016-18 seasons (how??). They are almost even split, with 4 wins for Bunnies and 3 wins for the Boomers. Their last match up was in the 2019 season, with the Boomers crushing the Bunnies 185.45 to 136.97. The Boomers effort was led by a trio of familiar faces: 33 points from Dark Prescott, 38 points from CMC, and 36 points from Austin Ekeler. The Boomers have been without CMC for most of the year, and now will be without Ekeler. Lets take a look at these 2020 stats:

The Boomers have been riding an extremely favorable schedule to open up the year. They are currently undefeated while holding the third lowest points for, and the least points against. The Bunnies are now sitting at 2-2 thanks to some timely stat corrections, but hold a sub-average point average and wins against the field. They’ve recently began surging thanks to the acquisitions of Mike Davis and Joe Mixon. The Boomers have relied heavily on the performance of Dak Prescott who has scored an incredible 23% of the Boomers total points this season. This is as vulnerable as we’ve seen an undefeated team: 2 stud RBs hurt, bye weeks and Covid pulling out flex players. The Boomers will need to make quite a few moves to even put together a roster this week. 

ESPN and PWR both agree that it’s an uphill battle for the Boomers. What these systems can’t account for, is the raw power of unbelievable luck that carries a team through an entire season. We’ve seen worse teams win harder matchups. The bulk of the players will be playing in the 10AM slot on Sunday. There will be a handful of players playing in the afternoon and night games, and then the Boomers (and Pumaskulls) will pray that the Bills will play football on Tuesday night.

Final Prediction:

Fluffy Bunnies: 134

Boomers: 112  

(Boomers projection is based on them filling current empty spots on their roster. The floor is much lower)

Who do you think will win? Make sure to leave a comment and vote on the game.