Final Week

I’ll post the final odds in a table below but I mostly just want to go over the nitty-gritty and cut to what matters.

Locked!

We’re up to 4 teams that are now locked for the playoffs:

  • TGIF
  • Shenanihads
  • Pumaskulls
  • Surfers

There’s still something interesting things that can happen to shake up some of the seeding, but TGIF is a lock for the #1 after extending his point lead this week. Pumaskulls will duke it out with Surfers for the #3 seed, while Shenanihads still have to contend with Giant Octopus and Shittysauruses for the #1 spot in Misfits and the #2 seed.

Who are the 5th and 6th team?

With losses this week the Narwhals and Nibblonians were eliminated. So who’s grabbing the last two spots? Well… we don’t know yet. There’s 3 teams fighting for those spots: Giant Octopus, Shittysauruses, and Boomers. Octo and Shitty are in a position to take over the division, and Boomers are hanging on by a thread to get a wild card spot.

What exactly are the scenarios this week? (The % show the likelihood of each event)

We’ll walk through each of these.

Boomers lose to TGIF

If the Boomers lose this week, nothing else really matters. At that point Giant Octopus will advance with wins and Shittysauruses will advance with points.

Boomers win against TGIF

Now things get interesting. If the Boomers win, there’s still several ways for it to go wrong for them.

Shittysauruses vs Shenanihads

If Shittyauruses win this game, then its over for Boomers, if Shitty loses, she’s the one out in the cold. This game also has some pretty big implications for Shenanihads getting the #2 seed.

Giant Octopus vs Mega Shark

This game has the same results as Shittysauruses for Octo if they lose, *but* they have an out – even with a loss. Because of their strong win total, and the Boomers and Giant Octopus’ low point totals, Giant Octopus can also win a tie-breaker against Boomers by outscoring them by 30 points this week.

Overall Odds

TeamOne SeedTwo SeedThree SeedFour SeedFive SeedSix SeedTotal Odds
TGIF100%0%0%0%0%0%100%
PHSH0%40%0%1%32%27%100%
DMPS0%0%65%35%0%0%100%
BUTT0%0%35%49%15%1%100%
OCTO0%28%0%6%29%29%91%
SHSR0%32%0%9%19%28%88%
340%0%0%0%5%15%21%
ATOM0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
FLUF0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
MEGA0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
NIBB0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
RUST0%0%0%0%0%0%0%

One comment

  1. Wow!!! That was a thorough and complete picture analysis of the Bo Knows playoff picture. Very nice. The best way to get to the playoffs is to win and try to crush your opponent whenever possible. Good luck to everyone!

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